Insights

What we released, what we held, and why.

News, explainers, research, tests and cases. Every number with its baseline and its date.

Seven slits of light cast across graphite
Benchmark 00114 October 2026
Base model, Kronos-small1.750%
Our first training run1.439%
Last value baselineStill ahead of ours1.392%

Forecast error (CRPS), lower is better. 243 held-out days.

FeaturedJournal5 min

Benchmark 001, losses included

Why we published our first benchmark in full, including the line where we are not yet ahead.

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October 202614 pieces